Egyptian Premier League, round 9 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Wadi Degla FC — Al Ittihad Alexandria
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wadi Degla FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 28%, draw 32%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Wadi Degla FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Wadi Degla FC are 97 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Wadi Degla FC — No. 15, 7 pts; Al Ittihad Alexandria — No. 5, 14 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Wadi Degla FC: winless in 5.
- Last 2 meetings: Wadi Degla FC 2 wins, Al Ittihad Alexandria 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wadi Degla FC — Al Ittihad Alexandria What is xG? | 1.2–1.0 | |
| Wadi Degla FC not to lose | 72% | |
| Al Ittihad Alexandria not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wadi Degla FC
- Wadi Degla FC goals
- Al Ittihad Alexandria goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Wadi Degla FC | Al Ittihad Alexandria |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 48 |
Form
- 29.10away · Pyramids FC1:2
- 20.10National Bank1:1
- 13.10away · Petrojet-Suez2:2
- 15.09Al Mokawloon Al Arab0:2
- 09.09away · Modern Sport FC1:2
- 30.10Tala'ea El Gaish0:0
- 21.10away · Ghazl Al Mahalla1:2
- 13.10El Gouna FC2:1
- 15.09away · Al Masry SC2:0
- 07.09Asyut Petroleum1:0
Head to head
- 29.04.2026Wadi Degla FC — Al Ittihad Alexandria4:1
- 27.10.2025Al Ittihad Alexandria — Wadi Degla FC1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 8 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Modern Sport FC | 8 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 14 | Tala'ea El Gaish | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla FC | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI | 8 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Smouha SCNational Bankpreliminary363529XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
- ZED FCAbo Qir Semadpreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Al Masry SCAsyut Petroleumpreliminary6425111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →