Egyptian Premier League, round 9 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
ZED FC — Abo Qir Semad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
ZED FC are clear favourites: 48% against 21% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- ZED FC are 190 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: ZED FC — No. 10, 11 pts; Abo Qir Semad — No. 19, 4 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Abo Qir Semad: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ZED FC — Abo Qir Semad What is xG? | 1.3–0.8 | |
| ZED FC not to lose | 79% | |
| Abo Qir Semad not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap ZED FC
- ZED FC goals
- Abo Qir Semad goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | ZED FC | Abo Qir Semad |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.10 | 1.22 |
| Shots | 12.7 | 9.5 |
| On target | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 45 |
Form
- 31.10away · Ceramica Cleopatra1:2
- 20.10Modern Sport FC3:2
- 12.10away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab1:1
- 17.09Olympic El Qanah FC2:1
- 09.09away · Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI1:2
- 31.10Ghazl Al Mahalla0:1
- 19.10away · Al Masry SC1:1
- 13.10Asyut Petroleum1:2
- 15.09away · Al Ahly SC0:2
- 08.09away · Zamalek SC0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Smouha SC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Petrojet-Suez | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Asyut Petroleum | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Abo Qir Semad | 8 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | El Gouna FC | 8 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Smouha SCNational Bankpreliminary363529XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
- Al Masry SCAsyut Petroleumpreliminary6425111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Wadi Degla FCAl Ittihad Alexandriapreliminary4032281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →