Egyptian Premier League, round 9 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Smouha SC — National Bank
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Smouha SC 36%, National Bank 29%, draw 35%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings National Bank are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Smouha SC are 50 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Smouha SC — No. 9, 11 pts; National Bank — No. 8, 11 pts.
- Smouha SC: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 4 meetings: Smouha SC 2 wins, National Bank 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Smouha SC — National Bank What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Smouha SC not to lose | 71% | |
| National Bank not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Smouha SC
- Smouha SC goals
- National Bank goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Smouha SC | National Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 0.73 | 1.38 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.82 | 0.80 |
| Shots | 10.1 | 17.0 |
| On target | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 60 |
Form
- 31.10away · Petrojet-Suez1:1
- 19.10away · El Gouna FC2:0
- 12.10Ghazl Al Mahalla1:0
- 14.09away · Tala'ea El Gaish1:0
- 08.09Ceramica Cleopatra0:2
- 28.10Al Masry SC1:1
- 20.10away · Wadi Degla FC1:1
- 13.10Tala'ea El Gaish3:0
- 14.09away · Ceramica Cleopatra0:2
- 07.09Ghazl Al Mahalla3:1
Head to head
- 01.03.2026National Bank — Smouha SC1:3
- 16.02.2025Smouha SC — National Bank1:4
- 13.07.2024National Bank — Smouha SC1:2
- 13.02.2024Smouha SC — National Bank1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Mokawloon Al Arab | 8 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | National Bank | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Smouha SC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- ZED FCAbo Qir Semadpreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Al Masry SCAsyut Petroleumpreliminary6425111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Wadi Degla FCAl Ittihad Alexandriapreliminary4032281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →