Turkish Super Lig, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Alanyaspor — Trabzonspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Trabzonspor are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Trabzonspor are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Trabzonspor are 153 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Alanyaspor — No. 12, 12 pts; Trabzonspor — No. 3, 22 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Trabzonspor: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Alanyaspor 1 win, Trabzonspor 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alanyaspor — Trabzonspor What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Alanyaspor not to lose | 49% | |
| Trabzonspor not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor goals
- Trabzonspor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Alanyaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 2.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.03 | 2.08 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.63 | 1.32 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 14.4 |
| On target | 3.5 | 6.7 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 53 |
Form
- 02.11away · Gençlerbirliği0:5
- 27.1012 Bingölspor4:1
- 23.10Kocaelispor1:2
- 17.10away · Fenerbahçe0:3
- 10.10Erzurumspor FK0:0
- 01.11Gaziantep FK2:0
- 26.10away · Rizespor4:3
- 22.10Heart of Midlothian2:0
- 19.10Beşiktaş2:0
- 15.10away · KuPS4:2
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Alanyaspor — Trabzonspor1:1
- 17.12.2025Trabzonspor — Alanyaspor0:1
- 08.11.2025Trabzonspor — Alanyaspor1:1
- 27.04.2025Trabzonspor — Alanyaspor4:3
- 08.01.2025Trabzonspor — Alanyaspor3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Amed Sportif | 10 | 7 | +14 | 23 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | +16 | 22 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Beşiktaş | 10 | 6 | +8 | 19 |
| 11 | Erzurumspor FK | 10 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 10 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 2027532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 841241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →