Turkish Super Lig, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Beşiktaş — Gençlerbirliği
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Beşiktaş are clear favourites: 84% against 4% for the opponent, draw 12%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Beşiktaş are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
- Beşiktaş are 262 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Beşiktaş — No. 4, 19 pts; Gençlerbirliği — No. 14, 11 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Beşiktaş 3 wins, Gençlerbirliği 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Beşiktaş — Gençlerbirliği What is xG? | 2.5–0.7 | |
| Beşiktaş not to lose | 96% | |
| Gençlerbirliği not to lose | 16% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Beşiktaş | Gençlerbirliği |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.96 | 1.06 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.08 | 1.95 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 12.1 |
| On target | 5.7 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 60 | 43 |
Form
- 01.11away · Kasımpaşa2:2
- 26.10Başakşehir2:0
- 22.10Crystal Palace2:2
- 19.10away · Trabzonspor0:2
- 15.10away · Hoffenheim3:2
- 02.11Alanyaspor5:0
- 29.10Karaköprü Belediyespor5:0
- 25.10away · Konyaspor0:2
- 17.10Galatasaray0:1
- 10.10Amed Sportif2:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Gençlerbirliği — Beşiktaş0:2
- 18.10.2025Beşiktaş — Gençlerbirliği1:2
- 15.02.2021Gençlerbirliği — Beşiktaş0:3
- 04.10.2020Beşiktaş — Gençlerbirliği0:1
- 25.07.2020Gençlerbirliği — Beşiktaş0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | +16 | 22 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Beşiktaş | 10 | 6 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 10 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 10 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 10 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 2027532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 2227512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →