Turkish Super Lig, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Çorum FK — Fenerbahçe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Fenerbahçe are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fenerbahçe are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
- Fenerbahçe are 57 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Çorum FK — No. 7, 16 pts; Fenerbahçe — No. 6, 16 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Çorum FK — Fenerbahçe What is xG? | 1.2–1.8 | |
| Çorum FK not to lose | 47% | |
| Fenerbahçe not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Çorum FK
- Çorum FK goals
- Fenerbahçe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Çorum FK | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.28 | 1.83 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| Shots | 12.1 | 14.8 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 53 |
Form
- 31.10away · Erzurumspor FK3:1
- 25.10away · Göztepe0:2
- 16.10Rizespor2:1
- 11.10away · Gaziantep FK3:0
- 19.09Alanyaspor1:2
- 31.10Göztepe1:2
- 26.10away · Galatasaray1:2
- 20.10Slavia Prague2:2
- 17.10Alanyaspor3:0
- 14.10away · Aston Villa0:6
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 10 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 10 | 5 | +14 | 16 |
| 7 | Çorum FK | 10 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 2227512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 841241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →