Turkish Super Lig, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Rizespor — Erzurumspor FK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Rizespor are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rizespor are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Rizespor are 109 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Rizespor — No. 13, 11 pts; Erzurumspor FK — No. 11, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Rizespor: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Rizespor 1 win, Erzurumspor FK 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rizespor — Erzurumspor FK What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Rizespor not to lose | 80% | |
| Erzurumspor FK not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rizespor
- Rizespor goals
- Erzurumspor FK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Rizespor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.41 | 0.82 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 9.9 |
| On target | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 43 |
Form
- 31.10away · Kocaelispor0:0
- 26.10Trabzonspor3:4
- 16.10away · Çorum FK1:2
- 10.10Fenerbahçe0:3
- 20.09away · Göztepe2:2
- 31.10Çorum FK1:3
- 24.10away · Gaziantep FK3:1
- 17.10Eyüpspor2:0
- 10.10away · Alanyaspor0:0
- 20.09Samsunspor1:0
Head to head
- 15.01.2026Erzurumspor FK — Rizespor2:0
- 12.02.2021Rizespor — Erzurumspor FK0:2
- 03.10.2020Erzurumspor FK — Rizespor0:0
- 03.02.2019Erzurumspor FK — Rizespor0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Erzurumspor FK | 10 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 10 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 2027532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 2227512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 841241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →