Turkish Super Lig, round 12 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Amed Sportif — Rizespor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Amed Sportif are clear favourites: 59% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Amed Sportif are 176 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Amed Sportif — No. 2, 23 pts; Rizespor — No. 13, 11 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Amed Sportif: 3 wins in a row; Rizespor: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Amed Sportif — Rizespor What is xG? | 2.1–1.0 | |
| Amed Sportif not to lose | 81% | |
| Rizespor not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Amed Sportif
- Amed Sportif goals
- Rizespor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Amed Sportif | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 2.16 | 1.41 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.86 | 1.28 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 15.3 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 2.9 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 53 |
Form
- 01.11Eyüpspor5:1
- 24.10away · Samsunspor2:1
- 17.10Konyaspor1:0
- 10.10away · Gençlerbirliği2:2
- 20.09Beşiktaş3:2
- 31.10away · Kocaelispor0:0
- 26.10Trabzonspor3:4
- 16.10away · Çorum FK1:2
- 10.10Fenerbahçe0:3
- 20.09away · Göztepe2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Galatasaray | 10 | 8 | +11 | 25 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Amed Sportif | 10 | 7 | +14 | 23 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | +16 | 22 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 10 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
Super Lig on the same day
- GençlerbirliğiGaziantep FKpreliminary4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- GalatasaraySamsunsporpreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- KocaelisporFenerbahçepreliminary1627572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →