América de Cali — Deportivo Cali
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
América de Cali are clear favourites: 49% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings América de Cali are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- América de Cali are 110 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: América de Cali — No. 2, 34 pts; Deportivo Cali — No. 3, 33 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Deportivo Cali: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: América de Cali 2 wins, Deportivo Cali 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: América de Cali 9, Deportivo Cali 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: América de Cali — Deportivo Cali What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| América de Cali not to lose | 78% | |
| Deportivo Cali not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap América de Cali
- América de Cali goals
- Deportivo Cali goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | América de Cali | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| xG per match | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.92 | 0.75 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 12.0 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 56 | 49 |
Form
- 30.10Fortaleza FC2:1
- 25.10Cúcuta3:1
- 19.10away · Bucaramanga1:1
- 12.10Independiente Medellín1:2
- 05.10away · Llaneros FC2:1
- 02.11Chicó FC2:0
- 25.10away · Fortaleza FC1:1
- 22.10away · Llaneros FC3:0
- 19.10Junior0:0
- 10.10away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Deportivo Cali — América de Cali1:0
- 19.10.2025Deportivo Cali — América de Cali0:2
- 08.09.2025América de Cali — Deportivo Cali0:0
- 28.04.2025América de Cali — Deportivo Cali2:0
- 25.03.2025Deportivo Cali — América de Cali1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 17 | 11 | +19 | 36 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 16 | 10 | +19 | 34 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | +16 | 33 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | +9 | 29 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →