Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Atlético Nacional — Deportivo Pereira
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In short
Atlético Nacional are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 12%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético Nacional are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
- Atlético Nacional are 413 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Atlético Nacional — No. 1, 36 pts; Deportivo Pereira — No. 15, 17 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- Atlético Nacional: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlético Nacional 1 win, Deportivo Pereira 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético Nacional — Deportivo Pereira What is xG? | 2.4–0.6 | |
| Atlético Nacional not to lose | 95% | |
| Deportivo Pereira not to lose | 17% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético Nacional
- Atlético Nacional goals
- Deportivo Pereira goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Atlético Nacional | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.25 | 0.77 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.81 | 1.21 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 9.4 |
| On target | 5.5 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| Possession, % | 63 | 49 |
Form
- 03.11away · Bucaramanga1:1
- 30.10Santa Fe2:0
- 26.10Independiente Medellín2:1
- 23.10Deportivo Pasto3:0
- 21.10away · Cúcuta0:1
- 03.11Tolima1:3
- 31.10CD Jaguares1:0
- 25.10away · Once Caldas1:1
- 21.10Chicó FC2:0
- 15.10away · Junior1:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Deportivo Pereira — Atlético Nacional1:0
- 23.07.2025Deportivo Pereira — Atlético Nacional2:1
- 10.02.2025Atlético Nacional — Deportivo Pereira3:0
- 08.11.2024Deportivo Pereira — Atlético Nacional1:1
- 18.04.2024Atlético Nacional — Deportivo Pereira0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 17 | 11 | +19 | 36 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 16 | 10 | +19 | 34 |
| 14 | Alianza FC | 17 | 5 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | -9 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | -4 | 16 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 4928221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →