Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Once Caldas — Águilas Doradas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Once Caldas are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Once Caldas are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Once Caldas are 97 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Once Caldas — No. 9, 24 pts; Águilas Doradas — No. 8, 25 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Once Caldas: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Once Caldas 2 wins, Águilas Doradas 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Once Caldas 10, Águilas Doradas 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Once Caldas — Águilas Doradas What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Once Caldas not to lose | 80% | |
| Águilas Doradas not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Once Caldas
- Once Caldas goals
- Águilas Doradas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Once Caldas | Águilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.30 | 1.27 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.78 | 0.98 |
| Shots | 18.6 | 12.8 |
| On target | 6.9 | 3.8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 54 |
Form
- 29.10Alianza FC1:0
- 25.10Deportivo Pereira1:1
- 21.10away · Millonarios1:1
- 18.10away · Independiente Medellín2:0
- 10.10Llaneros FC1:0
- 03.11Fortaleza FC1:0
- 28.10away · Cúcuta2:0
- 24.10away · Junior0:1
- 18.10Tolima2:1
- 14.10away · Bucaramanga1:1
Head to head
- 27.04.2026Águilas Doradas — Once Caldas2:2
- 09.08.2025Once Caldas — Águilas Doradas1:1
- 23.02.2025Águilas Doradas — Once Caldas0:1
- 21.07.2024Once Caldas — Águilas Doradas1:0
- 26.01.2024Águilas Doradas — Once Caldas1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 17 | 8 | 0 | 26 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | +2 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | +3 | 24 |
| 10 | Tolima | 17 | 6 | +1 | 23 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4928221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →