Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Santa Fe — Deportivo Pasto
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Santa Fe are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Santa Fe are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Santa Fe are 265 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Santa Fe — No. 5, 28 pts; Deportivo Pasto — No. 18, 15 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Santa Fe 1 win, Deportivo Pasto 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Santa Fe 9, Deportivo Pasto 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Santa Fe — Deportivo Pasto What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Santa Fe not to lose | 85% | |
| Deportivo Pasto not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Santa Fe
- Santa Fe goals
- Deportivo Pasto goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Santa Fe | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.06 | 0.77 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 50 |
Form
- 30.10away · Atlético Nacional0:2
- 27.10Bucaramanga2:1
- 22.10CD Jaguares2:1
- 19.10away · Llaneros FC0:1
- 06.10away · Independiente Medellín1:0
- 04.11CD Jaguares2:0
- 31.10away · Bucaramanga1:2
- 26.10away · Tolima1:0
- 23.10away · Atlético Nacional0:3
- 20.10Alianza FC0:1
Head to head
- 24.04.2026Deportivo Pasto — Santa Fe1:2
- 21.09.2025Deportivo Pasto — Santa Fe1:1
- 05.04.2025Santa Fe — Deportivo Pasto1:1
- 03.12.2024Santa Fe — Deportivo Pasto1:2
- 30.11.2024Deportivo Pasto — Santa Fe1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | +9 | 29 |
| 5, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 17 | Chicó FC | 17 | 4 | -15 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | CD Jaguares | 17 | 3 | -14 | 13 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4928221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →