English Premier League, round 10 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Arsenal — Hull City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Arsenal are clear favourites: 84% against 4% for the opponent, draw 12%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Arsenal are about 2.0 goals per match stronger.
- Arsenal are 408 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Arsenal — No. 1, 24 pts; Hull City — No. 11, 11 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Arsenal: unbeaten in 5; Hull City: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arsenal — Hull City What is xG? | 2.3–0.5 | |
| Arsenal not to lose | 96% | |
| Hull City not to lose | 16% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Arsenal
- Arsenal goals
- Hull City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Arsenal | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.64 | 1.12 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.02 | 1.33 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 60 | 38 |
Form
- 01.11away · Liverpool1:0
- 27.10away · Fleetwood Town1:1
- 24.10Everton2:0
- 21.10away · Bayern München2:2
- 18.10away · Nottingham Forest1:0
- 31.10Ipswich Town2:2
- 25.10Brentford1:1
- 17.10away · Fulham0:1
- 11.10Everton2:2
- 19.09away · Newcastle United1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | +9 | 24 |
| 2, Champions League | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | +10 | 21 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds United | 9 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
Premier League on the same day
- 343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 1725582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →