Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Athletic Club MG — Ceará
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Athletic Club MG are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Athletic Club MG — No. 13, 43 pts; Ceará — No. 15, 42 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Athletic Club MG: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Athletic Club MG — Ceará What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Athletic Club MG not to lose | 69% | |
| Ceará not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Athletic Club MG
- Athletic Club MG goals
- Ceará goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Londrina2:2
- 07.10away · Goiás1:2
- 02.10Sport Recife1:2
- 28.09away · Fortaleza2:2
- 20.09Botafogo SP1:1
- 13.10away · Botafogo SP0:1
- 09.10Criciúma1:0
- 03.10away · Avaí1:0
- 26.09away · Operário-PR2:2
- 19.09Novorizontino2:1
Head to head
- 14.07.2026Ceará — Athletic Club MG0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 33 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
| 14 | Náutico | 33 | 11 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- GoiásCRBpreliminary362836XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →