Liga MX (Mexico), round 16 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Atlante — Santos Laguna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Atlante are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 26%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlante are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Atlante are 58 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Atlante — No. 16, 14 pts; Santos Laguna — No. 8, 22 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlante — Santos Laguna What is xG? | 1.8–1.4 | |
| Atlante not to lose | 72% | |
| Santos Laguna not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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- Handicap Atlante
- Atlante goals
- Santos Laguna goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Atlante | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| xG per match | 1.47 | 1.84 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.12 | 1.71 |
| Shots | 16.4 | 15.2 |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.6 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 54 |
Form
- 01.11away · Chivas2:4
- 24.10Atlético de San Luis0:1
- 21.10away · FC Juárez1:0
- 17.10Pumas1:2
- 11.10away · Querétaro0:2
- 02.11Necaxa1:0
- 26.10away · Tijuana1:4
- 22.10Pumas2:0
- 18.10Querétaro5:0
- 12.10away · Atlético de San Luis2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 4426291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →