Liga MX (Mexico), round 16 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Atlético de San Luis — FC Juárez
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In short
Atlético de San Luis are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético de San Luis are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Atlético de San Luis are 171 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Atlético de San Luis — No. 13, 19 pts; FC Juárez — No. 18, 8 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlético de San Luis 2 wins, FC Juárez 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético de San Luis — FC Juárez What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Atlético de San Luis not to lose | 78% | |
| FC Juárez not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético de San Luis
- Atlético de San Luis goals
- FC Juárez goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Atlético de San Luis | FC Juárez |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.35 | 1.90 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 11.6 |
| On target | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 48 |
Form
- 31.10Atlas0:1
- 24.10away · Atlante1:0
- 21.10Querétaro2:1
- 18.10away · Toluca1:1
- 12.10Santos Laguna1:2
- 31.10Querétaro3:1
- 24.10away · Necaxa1:1
- 21.10Atlante0:1
- 18.10away · Cruz Azul0:5
- 11.10Tijuana1:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026FC Juárez — Atlético de San Luis2:1
- 01.11.2025Atlético de San Luis — FC Juárez1:2
- 08.03.2025Atlético de San Luis — FC Juárez1:0
- 28.10.2024FC Juárez — Atlético de San Luis2:4
- 08.04.2024Atlético de San Luis — FC Juárez2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pachuca | 15 | 5 | +6 | 19 |
| 13 | Atlético de San Luis | 15 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 15 | 2 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juárez | 15 | 2 | -22 | 8 |
Liga MX on the same day
- 4426291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 4526281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →