Kazakhstan Premier League, round 14 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Atyrau — FC Yelimay
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
FC Yelimay are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Yelimay are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atyrau — FC Yelimay What is xG? | 1.1–1.2 | |
| Atyrau not to lose | 61% | |
| FC Yelimay not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atyrau
- Atyrau goals
- FC Yelimay goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Zhenis2:1
- 17.09Ordabasy Shymkent0:3
- 12.09away · Kaisar Kyzylorda0:1
- 05.09away · FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:0
- 30.08FC Astana2:3
- 10.10Aktobe1:3
- 17.09away · Tobol Kostanay2:0
- 12.09Zhetysu Taldykorgan2:1
- 06.09away · FC Astana0:4
- 31.08Kairat Almaty0:2
Head to head
- 21.06.2026FC Yelimay — Atyrau1:2
- 26.10.2025FC Yelimay — Atyrau3:2
- 01.03.2025Atyrau — FC Yelimay2:1
- 26.10.2024Atyrau — FC Yelimay1:0
- 02.03.2024FC Yelimay — Atyrau0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 27 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Yelimay | 26 | 10 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | 27 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | -10 | 26 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →