Russian Premier League, round 14 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Baltika are clear favourites: 54% against 16% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Baltika are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Baltika are 233 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Baltika — No. 7, 17 pts; Dynamo Makhachkala — No. 11, 13 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Dynamo Makhachkala: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 3 meetings: Baltika 1 win, Dynamo Makhachkala 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala What is xG? | 1.5–0.8 | |
| Baltika not to lose | 84% | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Baltika
- Baltika goals
- Dynamo Makhachkala goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Baltika | Dynamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| xG per match | 1.26 | 1.44 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.82 | 1.60 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 11.6 |
| On target | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 43 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11Akron Togliatti2:1
- 29.10Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
- 24.10away · FC Krasnodar1:1
- 18.10FC Rostov0:0
- 14.10away · Krylya Sovetov Samara2:0
- 01.11FC Rostov0:3
- 29.10away · Krylya Sovetov Samara0:2
- 25.10away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:2
- 17.10Akron Togliatti1:1
- 14.10Zenit St. Petersburg1:2
Head to head
- 20.08.2026Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala1:1
- 05.04.2026Dynamo Makhachkala — Baltika2:2
- 05.10.2025Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika | 13 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 3 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | -7 | 12 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 4930211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 741961The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →