Russian Premier League, round 14 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Zenit St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 74% against 6% for the opponent, draw 19%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zenit St. Petersburg are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
- Zenit St. Petersburg are 316 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Zenit St. Petersburg — No. 1, 30 pts; FC Rostov — No. 6, 18 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Zenit St. Petersburg: 5 wins in a row; FC Rostov: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zenit St. Petersburg 5 wins, FC Rostov 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov What is xG? | 1.9–0.6 | |
| Zenit St. Petersburg not to lose | 94% | |
| FC Rostov not to lose | 26% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zenit St. Petersburg
- Zenit St. Petersburg goals
- FC Rostov goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Zenit St. Petersburg | FC Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.86 | 0.93 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.09 | 1.23 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 13.0 |
| On target | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 58 | 46 |
Form
- 02.11away · Krylya Sovetov Samara3:0
- 29.10away · Baltika3:2
- 25.10Dynamo Makhachkala2:0
- 18.10FK Akhmat3:2
- 14.10away · Dynamo Makhachkala2:1
- 01.11away · Dynamo Makhachkala3:0
- 28.10Akron Togliatti6:1
- 25.10Lokomotiv Moscow2:0
- 18.10away · Baltika0:0
- 14.10away · CSKA Moscow0:4
Head to head
- 17.05.2026FC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg0:1
- 20.07.2025Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov2:1
- 18.05.2025FC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg0:1
- 16.04.2025Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov2:0
- 12.03.2025FC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 13 | 10 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | +9 | 28 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika | 13 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 4930211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 5429161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →