Russian Premier League, round 14 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Spartak Moscow — Akron Togliatti
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In short
Spartak Moscow are clear favourites: 71% against 10% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Spartak Moscow are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
- Spartak Moscow are 302 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Spartak Moscow — No. 3, 26 pts; Akron Togliatti — No. 12, 12 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Spartak Moscow 4 wins, Akron Togliatti 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — Akron Togliatti What is xG? | 2.2–0.8 | |
| Spartak Moscow not to lose | 90% | |
| Akron Togliatti not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Akron Togliatti goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Spartak Moscow | Akron Togliatti |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.91 | 0.98 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.13 | 1.39 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 12.4 |
| On target | 6.1 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Possession, % | 61 | 54 |
Form
- 01.11away · Lokomotiv Moscow4:0
- 28.10Rubin Kazan1:0
- 25.10away · CSKA Moscow0:2
- 18.10Rubin Kazan4:0
- 15.10away · Rodina4:2
- 01.11away · Baltika1:2
- 28.10away · FC Rostov1:6
- 24.10Dinamo Moscow3:1
- 17.10away · Dynamo Makhachkala1:1
- 13.10away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
Head to head
- 09.03.2026Spartak Moscow — Akron Togliatti4:3
- 03.08.2025Akron Togliatti — Spartak Moscow1:1
- 19.04.2025Akron Togliatti — Spartak Moscow2:3
- 12.03.2025Akron Togliatti — Spartak Moscow2:3
- 10.11.2024Spartak Moscow — Akron Togliatti4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | +15 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | +9 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | -7 | 12 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Rodina | 13 | 3 | -13 | 12 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 4930211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 741961The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 5429161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →