Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · Estadio Florencio Solá
Banfield — Rosario Central
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Rosario Central to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Rosario Central are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosario Central are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Banfield — Rosario Central What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Banfield not to lose | 57% | |
| Rosario Central not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Banfield
- Banfield goals
- Rosario Central goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Gimnasia LP2:2
- 15.09Barracas Central1:1
- 10.09away · Deportivo Riestra1:1
- 05.09away · Aldosivi1:3
- 30.08River Plate2:3
- 20.09Argentinos Juniors1:0
- 13.09away · Tigre1:0
- 06.09Newell's Old Boys1:1
- 29.08Gimnasia LP1:2
- 25.08away · Talleres2:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Rosario Central — Banfield2:1
- 20.10.2024Rosario Central — Banfield1:1
- 30.05.2023Banfield — Rosario Central2:0
- 22.08.2022Rosario Central — Banfield0:1
- 16.09.2021Banfield — Rosario Central1:2
Next matches
- TigreBanfield11 October · Liga Profesional5726171The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- Rosario CentralIndependiente Rivadavia11 October · Liga Profesional4828241The most likely outcome came true: 15:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5227211The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.3
- 5329181The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →