Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 7 November, 17:00 (UTC+3)

BATE — Zhodino

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Model prediction for 7 November

BATE35%

Draw27%

Zhodino38%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: BATE 35%, Zhodino 38%, draw 27%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

By the strength ratings Zhodino are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: BATE — No. 15, 21 pts; Zhodino — No. 8, 36 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
BATE: 4 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: BATE 1 win, Zhodino 4.
Days of rest before the match: BATE 8, Zhodino 6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: BATE — Zhodino What is xG?		1.2–1.2
BATE not to lose		62%
Zhodino not to lose		65%
No draw		73%
Both teams to score: yes		50%
Both teams to score: no		50%
Total over 2.5		44%
Total under 2.5		56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap BATE
BATE goals
Zhodino goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	BATE	Zhodino
Goals scored per match	0.7	1.2
Goals conceded per match	1.5	1.7
xG per match	0.00	0.00
Opponents’ xG	0.00	0.00
Shots	11.1	9.2
On target	4.2	4.2
Corners	6.5	3.5
Cards	1.1	1.6
Possession, %	54	50

Averages per match: BATE — the last 10, Zhodino — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

BATE

30.10away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:1
24.10Belshina0:1
18.10away · Dnepr Mogilev1:2
14.10Neman0:2
10.10Slavia Mozyr2:1

Zhodino

01.11Belshina3:0
25.10away · Slavia Mozyr2:4
19.10Naftan1:0
15.10away · ML Vitebsk0:2
10.10away · FC Minsk1:0

Head to head

27.06.2026Zhodino — BATE3:0
25.10.2025BATE — Zhodino1:0
31.05.2025Zhodino — BATE3:2
25.08.2024BATE — Zhodino1:2
13.04.2024Zhodino — BATE2:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7	Vitebsk	27	11	7	9	30–26	+4	40
8	Zhodino	27	10	6	11	35–35	0	36
9	FC Minsk	27	10	4	13	33–40	-7	34
14, Relegation play-off	Dnepr Mogilev	27	4	11	12	26–41	-15	23
15, Relegation	BATE	27	4	9	14	19–34	-15	21
16, Relegation	Naftan	27	4	5	18	24–65	-41	17

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

13:00
NaftanML Vitebsk
51481
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
14:45
BelshinaIsloch
112267
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
19:30
VitebskDin. Minsk
202554
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →