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Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Vitebsk — Din. Minsk

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Model prediction for 7 November

Vitebsk20%
Draw25%
Din. Minsk54%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Din. Minsk are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Din. Minsk are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
  • Din. Minsk are 105 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Vitebsk — No. 7, 40 pts; Din. Minsk — No. 3, 58 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vitebsk 1 win, Din. Minsk 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitebsk — Din. Minsk What is xG?0.8–1.5
Vitebsk not to lose46%
Din. Minsk not to lose80%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Vitebsk
  • Vitebsk goals
  • Din. Minsk goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatVitebskDin. Minsk
Goals scored per match1.22.0
Goals conceded per match1.00.9
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots11.414.3
On target5.36.3
Corners5.45.7
Cards1.51.8
Possession, %5453

Averages per match: Vitebsk — the last 10, Din. Minsk — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Vitebsk

  • 31.10away · Dynamo Brest1:3
  • 24.10ML Vitebsk0:2
  • 17.10away · Baranovici1:0
  • 11.10Isloch0:0
  • 20.09Zhodino6:0

Din. Minsk

  • 01.11Neman0:1
  • 28.10away · Belshina3:2
  • 24.10away · FC Gomel2:1
  • 19.10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2:0
  • 15.10Slavia Mozyr3:1

Head to head

  • 27.06.2026Din. Minsk — Vitebsk1:1
  • 20.09.2025Vitebsk — Din. Minsk1:2
  • 03.05.2025Din. Minsk — Vitebsk2:1
  • 20.09.2024Vitebsk — Din. Minsk1:0
  • 02.05.2024Din. Minsk — Vitebsk1:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Europa League or Conference LeagueIsloch27177351–21+3058
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDin. Minsk27184550–23+2758
4Dynamo Brest27155748–27+2150
6FC Gomel27117938–29+940
7Vitebsk27117930–26+440
8Zhodino271061135–35036

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • NaftanML Vitebsk
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
  • BelshinaIsloch
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • BATEZhodino
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →