UEFA Champions League, round 4 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Bodø/Glimt — Lille
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 71% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bodø/Glimt — Lille What is xG? | 2.4–0.8 | |
| Bodø/Glimt not to lose | 89% | |
| Lille not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bodø/Glimt
- Bodø/Glimt goals
- Lille goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Kristiansund3:1
- 20.09away · Brann1:2
- 14.09Sandefjord3:2
- 10.09away · Bayern München0:5
- 04.09away · Fredrikstad2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Napoli | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 32 | Lille | 2 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- Shakhtar DonetskSporting CPpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- GalatasarayVfB Stuttgartpreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- BarcelonaAston Villapreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- Atlético MadridBayern Münchenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Manchester UnitedRomapreliminary4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- FeyenoordInterpreliminary2726472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- VillarrealParis Saint-Germainpreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LASKSlovan Bratislavapreliminary7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →