Brazilian Serie A, round 34 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Botafogo — Atlético-MG
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Botafogo are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Botafogo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Botafogo — No. 12, 36 pts; Atlético-MG — No. 7, 47 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Atlético-MG: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Botafogo 2 wins, Atlético-MG 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Botafogo — Atlético-MG What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Botafogo not to lose | 69% | |
| Atlético-MG not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Botafogo
- Botafogo goals
- Atlético-MG goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Coritiba1:1
- 08.10Vasco da Gama1:2
- 19.09away · Mirassol0:2
- 17.09Grêmio3:2
- 13.09RB Bragantino1:1
- 15.10Montevideo City Torque3:0
- 11.10Santos2:1
- 09.10away · Athletico Paranaense2:2
- 04.10RB Bragantino1:0
- 19.09Chapecoense1:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Atlético-MG — Botafogo1:1
- 21.09.2025Botafogo — Atlético-MG1:0
- 20.04.2025Atlético-MG — Botafogo1:0
- 30.11.2024Atlético-MG — Botafogo1:3
- 21.11.2024Atlético-MG — Botafogo0:0
Table
Brasileirao on the same day
- FlamengoGrêmiopreliminary831241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
- Athletico ParanaenseVasco da Gamapreliminary4028321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- São PauloCorinthianspreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →