EFL Cup (Carabao Cup), round 4 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Bradford City — Peterborough United

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 27 October

Bradford City31%
Draw26%
Peterborough United43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Peterborough United are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bradford City — Peterborough United What is xG?1.3–1.5
Bradford City not to lose57%
Peterborough United not to lose69%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Bradford City
  • Bradford City goals
  • Peterborough United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Bradford City

  • 08.09away · Leyton Orient3:1
  • 26.08Burnley0:0
  • 08.08Rochdale2:0
  • 01.11away · Cheltenham Town0:1
  • 24.09away · Newcastle United1:4

Peterborough United

  • 15.09Barnsley3:3
  • 25.08away · Watford5:1
  • 08.08away · Bristol Rovers1:0
  • 06.12Barnsley0:1
  • 01.11Cardiff City1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

EFL Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →