English Premier League, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Brentford — Liverpool
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Brentford 35%, Liverpool 35%, draw 29%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brentford — Liverpool What is xG? | 1.5–1.6 | |
| Brentford not to lose | 65% | |
| Liverpool not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Brentford
- Brentford goals
- Liverpool goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Aston Villa2:2
- 18.09Chelsea3:0
- 15.09away · Reading2:1
- 12.09away · AFC Bournemouth2:2
- 05.09Sunderland1:1
- 11.10Manchester City0:3
- 20.09away · AFC Bournemouth1:0
- 15.09Tottenham Hotspur3:1
- 12.09Fulham0:0
- 09.09Atlético Madrid2:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Liverpool — Brentford1:1
- 25.10.2025Brentford — Liverpool3:2
- 18.01.2025Brentford — Liverpool0:2
- 25.08.2024Liverpool — Brentford2:0
- 17.02.2024Brentford — Liverpool1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Champions League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 4, Champions League | Brentford | 6 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Everton | 6 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
Premier League on the same day
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.6
- 4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →