A-League Men (Australia), round 2 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Brisbane Roar FC — Perth Glory
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brisbane Roar FC are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brisbane Roar FC are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brisbane Roar FC — Perth Glory What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Brisbane Roar FC not to lose | 73% | |
| Perth Glory not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Brisbane Roar FC
- Brisbane Roar FC goals
- Perth Glory goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 25.04away · Perth Glory1:2
- 18.04Melbourne City FC2:3
- 10.04away · Central Coast Mariners2:2
- 02.04Sydney FC0:0
- 21.03Wellington Phoenix1:2
- 25.04Brisbane Roar FC2:1
- 18.04away · Sydney FC0:0
- 12.04Macarthur FC3:1
- 04.04away · Central Coast Mariners2:2
- 22.03Melbourne City FC1:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Perth Glory — Brisbane Roar FC2:1
- 28.02.2026Brisbane Roar FC — Perth Glory1:1
- 16.01.2026Perth Glory — Brisbane Roar FC1:2
- 15.03.2025Perth Glory — Brisbane Roar FC1:3
- 21.12.2024Brisbane Roar FC — Perth Glory0:1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →