Ukrainian Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Tonkocheyev Stadium
Bukovyna Chernivtsi — Polissya Zhytomyr
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Polissya Zhytomyr to win (52%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.
Polissya Zhytomyr are clear favourites: 52% against 18% for the opponent, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 1.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 24%, both teams to score — 29%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Polissya Zhytomyr are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bukovyna Chernivtsi — Polissya Zhytomyr What is xG? | 0.5–1.2 | |
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi not to lose | 48% | |
| Polissya Zhytomyr not to lose | 82% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 29% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 71% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 24% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 76% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bukovyna Chernivtsi
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi goals
- Polissya Zhytomyr goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · FC Kharkiv0:2
- 13.09Zorya1:1
- 06.09away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:0
- 31.08Dynamo Kyiv3:0
- 15.08away · Karpaty0:3
- 18.09Kryvbas1:0
- 13.09Liviy Bereh1:0
- 04.09Kudrivka5:1
- 29.08away · Shakhtar Donetsk2:0
- 17.08Zorya1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 7 | +14 | 21 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
Next matches
- KudrivkaBukovyna Chernivtsi17 October · Ukrainian Premier League2731422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
- Polissya ZhytomyrDynamo Kyiv18 October · Ukrainian Premier League383031XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 6524121The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →