Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Cambuur — Go Ahead Eagles

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Model prediction for 31 October

Cambuur34%
Draw27%
Go Ahead Eagles39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Cambuur 34%, Go Ahead Eagles 39%, draw 27%.

3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 72%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cambuur — Go Ahead Eagles What is xG?1.7–1.9
Cambuur not to lose61%
Go Ahead Eagles not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes72%
Both teams to score: no28%
Total over 2.569%
Total under 2.531%

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  • Handicap Cambuur
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Form

Cambuur

  • 11.10away · PEC Zwolle1:0
  • 19.09away · ADO Den Haag1:1
  • 12.09NEC Nijmegen3:0
  • 06.09away · Telstar2:2
  • 30.08FC Twente1:4

Go Ahead Eagles

  • 10.10Sparta Rotterdam3:3
  • 20.09away · NEC Nijmegen1:1
  • 12.09FC Groningen1:1
  • 08.09away · FC Utrecht3:3
  • 29.08away · AZ Alkmaar2:5

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Fortuna Sittard842214–15-114
8Go Ahead Eagles825119–17+211
9Excelsior832316–14+211
11NEC Nijmegen823313–14-19
12Cambuur822411–19-88
13FC Utrecht822414–25-118

Season 2026/27

Full table

Eredivisie on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →