Cerro Porteño — Olimpia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cerro Porteño are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Olimpia: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Cerro Porteño 1 win, Olimpia 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cerro Porteño — Olimpia What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Cerro Porteño not to lose | 70% | |
| Olimpia not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cerro Porteño
- Cerro Porteño goals
- Olimpia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Luqueño3:0
- 06.102 de Mayo0:2
- 27.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:2
- 20.09Rubio Ñú1:0
- 12.09away · Guaraní1:1
- 11.10away · Rubio Ñú0:0
- 07.10Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 29.09away · Libertad1:0
- 20.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo3:0
- 13.09Luqueño3:0
Head to head
- 23.08.2026Olimpia — Cerro Porteño2:1
- 19.04.2026Olimpia — Cerro Porteño3:0
- 22.02.2026Cerro Porteño — Olimpia0:1
- 19.10.2025Cerro Porteño — Olimpia1:1
- 03.08.2025Olimpia — Cerro Porteño2:3
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- RecoletaSportivo Amelianopreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Guaraní2 de Mayopreliminary5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Sportivo TrinidenseRubio Ñúpreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- LuqueñoNacional (PAR)preliminary2027532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- Sportivo San LorenzoLibertadpreliminary1323652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →