Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Cerro Porteño — Olimpia

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Model prediction for 5 November

Cerro Porteño40%
Draw30%
Olimpia30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cerro Porteño are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Olimpia: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Cerro Porteño 1 win, Olimpia 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cerro Porteño — Olimpia What is xG?1.2–1.1
Cerro Porteño not to lose70%
Olimpia not to lose60%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Cerro Porteño
  • Cerro Porteño goals
  • Olimpia goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Cerro Porteño

  • 11.10away · Luqueño3:0
  • 06.102 de Mayo0:2
  • 27.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:2
  • 20.09Rubio Ñú1:0
  • 12.09away · Guaraní1:1

Olimpia

  • 11.10away · Rubio Ñú0:0
  • 07.10Nacional (PAR)1:1
  • 29.09away · Libertad1:0
  • 20.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo3:0
  • 13.09Luqueño3:0

Head to head

  • 23.08.2026Olimpia — Cerro Porteño2:1
  • 19.04.2026Olimpia — Cerro Porteño3:0
  • 22.02.2026Cerro Porteño — Olimpia0:1
  • 19.10.2025Cerro Porteño — Olimpia1:1
  • 03.08.2025Olimpia — Cerro Porteño2:3

Full record: 15 meetings →

Paraguayan Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →