Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Guaraní — 2 de Mayo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Guaraní are clear favourites: 53% against 19% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Guaraní are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Guaraní are 112 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Guaraní: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Guaraní 1 win, 2 de Mayo 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Guaraní — 2 de Mayo What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Guaraní not to lose | 81% | |
| 2 de Mayo not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Guaraní
- Guaraní goals
- 2 de Mayo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Libertad2:2
- 03.10Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
- 25.09away · Luqueño1:0
- 18.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:0
- 12.09Cerro Porteño1:1
- 12.10Sportivo Ameliano1:0
- 06.10away · Cerro Porteño2:0
- 26.09away · Rubio Ñú2:2
- 19.09away · Nacional (PAR)0:3
- 12.09Libertad0:2
Head to head
- 26.08.20262 de Mayo — Guaraní0:0
- 26.04.20262 de Mayo — Guaraní2:2
- 26.03.2026Guaraní — 2 de Mayo1:1
- 13.09.20252 de Mayo — Guaraní1:0
- 07.07.2025Guaraní — 2 de Mayo3:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Cerro PorteñoOlimpiapreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- RecoletaSportivo Amelianopreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Sportivo TrinidenseRubio Ñúpreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- LuqueñoNacional (PAR)preliminary2027532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- Sportivo San LorenzoLibertadpreliminary1323652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →