Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Recoleta — Sportivo Ameliano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Recoleta 36%, Sportivo Ameliano 35%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sportivo Ameliano are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Recoleta: winless in 5; Sportivo Ameliano: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Recoleta 2 wins, Sportivo Ameliano 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Recoleta — Sportivo Ameliano What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Recoleta not to lose | 65% | |
| Sportivo Ameliano not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Recoleta
- Recoleta goals
- Sportivo Ameliano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Nacional (PAR)0:1
- 05.10Libertad1:2
- 28.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo0:0
- 21.09away · Luqueño0:1
- 13.09Sportivo Trinidense1:3
- 12.10away · 2 de Mayo0:1
- 06.10Rubio Ñú1:2
- 26.09away · Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 19.09away · Libertad1:1
- 11.09Sportivo San Lorenzo1:0
Head to head
- 22.08.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Recoleta3:1
- 11.05.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Recoleta3:2
- 10.03.2026Recoleta — Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 29.09.2025Sportivo Ameliano — Recoleta1:4
- 22.07.2025Recoleta — Sportivo Ameliano3:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Cerro PorteñoOlimpiapreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Guaraní2 de Mayopreliminary5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Sportivo TrinidenseRubio Ñúpreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- LuqueñoNacional (PAR)preliminary2027532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- Sportivo San LorenzoLibertadpreliminary1323652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →