Primera Nacional, round 36 · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors — Nueva Chicago
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2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Chacarita Juniors to win (51%), came true.
Chacarita Juniors are clear favourites: 51% against 18% for the opponent, draw 31%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chacarita Juniors are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Chacarita Juniors are 127 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Nueva Chicago: winless in 4.
- Last 3 meetings: Chacarita Juniors 0 wins, Nueva Chicago 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chacarita Juniors — Nueva Chicago What is xG? | 1.3–0.7 | |
| Chacarita Juniors not to lose | 82% | |
| Nueva Chicago not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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Match events
- 50′Maximiliano Meléndez · Chacarita Juniors1:0
- 51′Maximiliano Meléndez · Chacarita Juniors
- 53′Bruno Palazzo · Nueva Chicago
- 55′Nicolás Pantaleone · Chacarita Juniors2:0
- 59′Álvaro Cuello · Chacarita Juniors
- 62′Alexis Domínguez · Chacarita Juniors
- 93′Diego Barros · Nueva Chicago
- 95′Román Zalazar · Nueva Chicago
Lineups
Chacarita Juniors
- GKFederico Losas
- DFSergio Vittor
- DFFrancisco Facello
- DFNicolás Chávez
- DFSantiago Acosta
- DFNicolás Pantaleone
- MFÁlvaro Cuello
- MFCristian Guanca
- MFMaximiliano Meléndez
- MFTomás Pérez
- FWAlexis Domínguez
Nueva Chicago
- GKFacundo Masuero
- DFGonzalo Trindade
- DFBruno Palazzo
- DFDylan Gissi
- DFRomán Zalazar
- MFEnzo Roldán
- MFEmiliano Méndez
- MFTomás Rodríguez
- FWLucas Ambrogio
- FWMauro Pérez
- FWThiago Ocampo
Form
- 25.10away · Temperley1:0
- 17.10Deportivo Maipú1:0
- 10.10away · Almagro1:2
- 04.10Patronato de Parana1:0
- 27.09away · Colegiales1:2
- 26.10San Martín San Juan1:1
- 18.10Gimnasia Jujuy0:1
- 11.10away · Temperley1:2
- 05.10Deportivo Maipú0:1
- 27.09away · Almagro1:0
Head to head
- 13.06.2026Nueva Chicago — Chacarita Juniors2:0
- 28.06.2025Chacarita Juniors — Nueva Chicago0:0
- 25.02.2025Nueva Chicago — Chacarita Juniors1:1
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 4929221The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 5329181The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 4033261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.1.9
- 4731221The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →