Primera Nacional, round 36 · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio La Ciudadela
San Martín de Tucumán — Colegiales
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, San Martín de Tucumán to win (49%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 49% fails in about 51 matches out of 100 on average.
San Martín de Tucumán are clear favourites: 49% against 22% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings San Martín de Tucumán are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Colegiales: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: San Martín de Tucumán 1 win, Colegiales 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Martín de Tucumán — Colegiales What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| San Martín de Tucumán not to lose | 78% | |
| Colegiales not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap San Martín de Tucumán
- San Martín de Tucumán goals
- Colegiales goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Match events
- 63′Leonardo González · Colegiales
Lineups
San Martín de Tucumán
- GKJuan Jaime
- DFNahuel Gallardo
- DFEzequiel Parnisari
- DFVíctor Salazar
- DFGuillermo Rodríguez
- MFBruno Cabrera
- MFGabriel Carabajal
- MFSantiago Briñone
- MFAgustín Graneros
- MFÁlvaro Veliez
- FWLuca Arfaras
Colegiales
- GKEmilio Di Fulvio
- DFEmanuel Insúa
- DFFacundo Rivero
- DFLeonel Alejandro Ortiz
- DFFranco Malagueño
- MFFederico Marín
- MFFacundo Montiel
- FWMateo Mamani
- FWRodrigo Monserrat
- FWMauro Albertengo
- FWLeonardo González
Form
- 24.10away · Quilmes1:2
- 19.10CA Ferrocarril Midland3:2
- 11.10away · Atlanta0:1
- 05.10Gimnasia y Tiro1:0
- 28.09away · Gimnasia Jujuy2:2
- 25.10Atlético Rafaela1:1
- 17.10away · Agropecuario3:0
- 10.10Tristán Suárez0:0
- 04.10away · Atlético Güemes1:0
- 27.09Chacarita Juniors2:1
Head to head
- 13.06.2026Colegiales — San Martín de Tucumán2:0
- 06.09.2025Colegiales — San Martín de Tucumán2:0
- 03.05.2025San Martín de Tucumán — Colegiales2:0
Next match
- Deportivo MorónColegiales15 November · Primera Nacional · preliminary5328201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 5329181The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 4033261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.1.9
- 4731221The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.1
- 5131181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →