Ukrainian Premier League, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Chornomorets Stadium
Chornomorets Odesa — FC Kharkiv
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1:2Came true
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, FC Kharkiv to win (59%), came true.
FC Kharkiv are clear favourites: 59% against 15% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 30%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Kharkiv are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chornomorets Odesa — FC Kharkiv What is xG? | 0.5–1.4 | |
| Chornomorets Odesa not to lose | 41% | |
| FC Kharkiv not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 30% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 70% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 30% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 70% |
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Form
- 18.09Obolon Kyiv1:1
- 14.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:2
- 04.09Liviy Bereh0:0
- 30.08Kryvbas1:0
- 16.08away · LNZ Cherkasy0:2
- 19.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:0
- 05.09Obolon Kyiv5:0
- 31.08away · Zorya3:0
- 16.08Shakhtar Donetsk0:1
- 10.08away · Polissya Zhytomyr1:3
Head to head
- 12.05.2024Chornomorets Odesa — FC Kharkiv3:0
- 05.11.2023FC Kharkiv — Chornomorets Odesa2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Kryvbas | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Chornomorets Odesa | 7 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 15, Relegation | Obolon Kyiv | 7 | 0 | -10 | 4 |
Next matches
- ZoryaChornomorets Odesa17 October · Ukrainian Premier League6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- FC KharkivLiviy Bereh19 October · Ukrainian Premier League6525111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.8
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 4432251The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →