French Ligue 2, round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, 16:00 (UTC+3)

Clermont Foot — Rodez

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Model prediction for 7 November

Clermont Foot29%

Draw29%

Rodez42%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Rodez are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

By the strength ratings Rodez are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
In recent matches the betting market rated Rodez higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

League table: Clermont Foot — No. 17, 8 pts; Rodez — No. 11, 13 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Clermont Foot: winless in 5.
Last 4 meetings: Clermont Foot 1 win, Rodez 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Clermont Foot — Rodez What is xG?		1.2–1.5
Clermont Foot not to lose		58%
Rodez not to lose		71%
No draw		71%
Both teams to score: yes		56%
Both teams to score: no		44%
Total over 2.5		50%
Total under 2.5		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot goals
Rodez goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Clermont Foot	Rodez
Goals scored per match	1.0	1.4
Goals conceded per match	1.5	2.1
xG per match	0.83	1.32
Opponents’ xG	1.57	1.89
Shots	8.2	14.1
On target	2.6	4.9
Corners	4.5	6.1
Cards	1.5	1.5
Possession, %	51	42

Averages per match: Clermont Foot — the last 10, Rodez — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Clermont Foot

30.10away · Nantes1:1
23.10Guingamp0:2
16.10away · Laval3:3
10.10Red Star2:3
18.09away · Grenoble1:1

Rodez

30.10Dunkerque1:0
24.10away · Dijon2:1
19.10Montpellier0:3
10.10away · Saint-Étienne0:2
18.09Nancy3:4

Head to head

13.02.2026Clermont Foot — Rodez1:2
19.09.2025Rodez — Clermont Foot0:1
10.05.2025Rodez — Clermont Foot1:1
13.12.2024Clermont Foot — Rodez1:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17–17	0	14
11	Rodez	11	4	1	6	17–22	-5	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14–17	-3	12
16, Relegation play-off	Laval	11	2	3	6	14–21	-7	9
17, Relegation	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10–15	-5	8
18, Relegation	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10–20	-10	8

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

22:00
PauNantes
353035
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
22:00
Saint-ÉtienneLaval
702010
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →