French Ligue 2, round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Pau — Nantes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Pau 35%, Nantes 35%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Pau are 157 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Pau — No. 5, 20 pts; Nantes — No. 15, 9 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Pau: 5 wins in a row; Nantes: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pau — Nantes What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Pau not to lose | 65% | |
| Nantes not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Pau
- Pau goals
- Nantes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Pau | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.56 | 1.30 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 13.9 |
| On target | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.7 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 53 |
Form
- 30.10Clermont Foot1:1
- 24.10away · Saint-Étienne0:1
- 17.10Dunkerque2:3
- 10.10Reims0:0
- 19.09away · Boulogne2:1
Head to head
- 05.01.2024Pau — Nantes1:4
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- 2929422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →