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French Ligue 2, round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Saint-Étienne — Laval

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Model prediction for 7 November

Saint-Étienne70%
Draw20%
Laval10%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Saint-Étienne are clear favourites: 70% against 10% for the opponent, draw 20%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Saint-Étienne are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
  • Saint-Étienne are 291 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Saint-Étienne — No. 1, 25 pts; Laval — No. 16, 9 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
  • Last 4 meetings: Saint-Étienne 2 wins, Laval 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Saint-Étienne — Laval What is xG?2.0–0.8
Saint-Étienne not to lose90%
Laval not to lose30%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Saint-Étienne
  • Saint-Étienne goals
  • Laval goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatSaint-ÉtienneLaval
Goals scored per match2.11.2
Goals conceded per match0.91.8
xG per match1.781.53
Opponents’ xG0.751.36
Shots14.713.3
On target5.64.2
Corners4.95.5
Cards1.62.3
Possession, %5657

Averages per match: Saint-Étienne — the last 10, Laval — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Saint-Étienne

  • 31.10away · Guingamp0:3
  • 24.10Nantes1:0
  • 17.10away · Red Star1:0
  • 10.10Rodez2:0
  • 19.09away · Metz2:2

Laval

  • 30.10Boulogne1:0
  • 23.10away · Nancy0:1
  • 16.10Clermont Foot3:3
  • 09.10away · Pau2:3
  • 18.09Sochaux1:1

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Saint-Étienne — Laval2:1
  • 09.08.2025Laval — Saint-Étienne3:3
  • 13.01.2024Saint-Étienne — Laval0:0
  • 23.10.2023Laval — Saint-Étienne0:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, PromotionSaint-Étienne1181223–11+1225
2, PromotionMontpellier1173116–6+1024
15Nantes1123612–18-69
16, Relegation play-offLaval1123614–21-79
17, RelegationClermont Foot1108310–15-58

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • Clermont FootRodez
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
  • PauNantes
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →