Belgian Pro League, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Club Brugge — Anderlecht
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In short
Club Brugge are clear favourites: 67% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Club Brugge are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
- Club Brugge are 305 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Club Brugge — No. 1, 27 pts; Anderlecht — No. 5, 19 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Club Brugge: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Club Brugge 3 wins, Anderlecht 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Club Brugge — Anderlecht What is xG? | 2.3–1.1 | |
| Club Brugge not to lose | 86% | |
| Anderlecht not to lose | 33% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Club Brugge
- Club Brugge goals
- Anderlecht goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Club Brugge | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| xG per match | 2.45 | 1.54 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 14.7 |
| On target | 6.2 | 5.8 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 5.0 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 59 | 60 |
Form
- 30.10away · Zulte Waregem4:2
- 25.10St.Truiden3:2
- 21.10Lens3:0
- 17.10KSC Lokeren1:0
- 13.10away · Inter4:3
- 31.10Westerlo4:1
- 25.10away · Gent0:4
- 22.10away · Jagiellonia Białystok3:0
- 18.10away · Beerschot1:2
- 15.10away · Dinamo Zagreb0:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Anderlecht — Club Brugge1:3
- 06.04.2026Club Brugge — Anderlecht4:2
- 08.03.2026Club Brugge — Anderlecht2:2
- 09.11.2025Anderlecht — Club Brugge1:0
- 18.05.2025Anderlecht — Club Brugge1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Club Brugge | 10 | 9 | +18 | 27 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Union St.Gilloise | 10 | 8 | +22 | 26 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Sporting Charleroi | 10 | 8 | +9 | 24 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 10 | 6 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6125141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5724201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →