Belgian Pro League, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
St.Truiden — Zulte Waregem
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
St.Truiden are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St.Truiden are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- St.Truiden are 114 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: St.Truiden — No. 15, 8 pts; Zulte Waregem — No. 10, 11 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: St.Truiden 5 wins, Zulte Waregem 0.
- Days of rest before the match: St.Truiden 7, Zulte Waregem 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St.Truiden — Zulte Waregem What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| St.Truiden not to lose | 80% | |
| Zulte Waregem not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St.Truiden
- St.Truiden goals
- Zulte Waregem goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | St.Truiden | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 2.06 | 1.29 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.53 | 1.50 |
| Shots | 16.5 | 12.6 |
| On target | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 42 |
Form
- 01.11OH Leuven1:2
- 25.10away · Club Brugge2:3
- 22.10away · FC Midtjylland1:0
- 18.10Lommel4:1
- 15.10Iberia 19992:0
- 30.10Club Brugge2:4
- 24.10away · RAAL La Louvière0:3
- 17.10RFC Seraing3:0
- 10.10Gent0:2
- 19.09away · Anderlecht0:3
Head to head
- 15.02.2026St.Truiden — Zulte Waregem3:2
- 23.08.2025Zulte Waregem — St.Truiden0:2
- 27.12.2022St.Truiden — Zulte Waregem2:0
- 17.09.2022Zulte Waregem — St.Truiden0:3
- 02.04.2022Zulte Waregem — St.Truiden0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Standard Liège | 10 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Royal Antwerp | 10 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 9 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | St.Truiden | 10 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2 | -10 | 7 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 6720141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6125141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →