Belgian Pro League, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, 18:00 (UTC+3)

Gent — Kortrijk

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Model prediction for 8 November

Gent65%

Draw22%

Kortrijk13%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Gent are clear favourites: 65% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

By the strength ratings Gent are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Gent are 332 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Gent — No. 3, 25 pts; Kortrijk — No. 18, 4 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Gent 4 wins, Kortrijk 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Gent — Kortrijk What is xG?		1.9–0.8
Gent not to lose		87%
Kortrijk not to lose		35%
No draw		78%
Both teams to score: yes		49%
Both teams to score: no		51%
Total over 2.5		52%
Total under 2.5		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Gent
Gent goals
Kortrijk goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Gent	Kortrijk
Goals scored per match	1.6	0.3
Goals conceded per match	0.7	2.1
xG per match	1.35	1.04
Opponents’ xG	0.98	1.82
Shots	13.1	11.6
On target	4.6	3.0
Corners	5.0	3.6
Cards	2.1	2.2
Possession, %	44	45

Averages per match: Gent — the last 10, Kortrijk — the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Form

Gent

01.11away · Lommel0:2
25.10Anderlecht4:0
22.10away · Braga0:2
18.10away · Union Rochefortoise3:3
15.10AGF1:0

Kortrijk

31.10away · Standard Liège1:1
10.10away · Genk0:3
20.09SK Beveren1:0
13.09away · RAAL La Louvière0:3
06.09Zulte Waregem0:2

Head to head

16.03.2025Gent — Kortrijk1:2
28.07.2024Kortrijk — Gent0:1
26.12.2023Kortrijk — Gent0:2
30.07.2023Gent — Kortrijk3:2
15.01.2023Gent — Kortrijk2:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Champions League qualifying	Union St.Gilloise	10	8	2	0	29–7	+22	26
3, Europa League or Conference League	Gent	10	8	1	1	19–6	+13	25
4, Europa League or Conference League	Sporting Charleroi	10	8	0	2	21–12	+9	24
17, Relegation	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	13–22	-9	6
18, Relegation	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	3–19	-16	4

Season 2026/27

Full table

Belgian Pro League on the same day

15:30
Club BruggeAnderlecht
672014
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
20:30
Union St.GilloiseGenk
612514
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
21:15
St.TruidenZulte Waregem
572420
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →