Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Colorado Rapids — Chicago Fire FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Colorado Rapids 37%, Chicago Fire FC 35%, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Rapids — Chicago Fire FC What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Colorado Rapids not to lose | 65% | |
| Chicago Fire FC not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Colorado Rapids
- Colorado Rapids goals
- Chicago Fire FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10San Jose Earthquakes1:1
- 27.09away · LA Galaxy2:3
- 20.09Seattle Sounders FC3:3
- 17.09St. Louis City0:3
- 13.09CF Montréal1:0
- 10.10New York City FC2:1
- 07.10Vancouver Whitecaps3:1
- 27.09away · Charlotte FC1:0
- 20.09away · Nashville SC0:3
- 14.09New England Revolution1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
MLS on the same day
- LA GalaxyAustin FCpreliminary5823201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- San Jose EarthquakesReal Salt Lakepreliminary5126241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →