Peruvian Liga 1 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Comerciantes Unidos — Asociación Deportiva Tarma
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Comerciantes Unidos are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Comerciantes Unidos are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Comerciantes Unidos: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Comerciantes Unidos 0 wins, Asociación Deportiva Tarma 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Comerciantes Unidos — Asociación Deportiva Tarma What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Comerciantes Unidos not to lose | 76% | |
| Asociación Deportiva Tarma not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos goals
- Asociación Deportiva Tarma goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
- 18.09away · Alianza Atlético1:2
- 12.09Sport Huancayo0:1
- 06.09away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 28.08FC Cajamarca2:3
- 10.10FC Cajamarca0:0
- 23.09Cienciano2:1
- 19.09away · Alianza Lima0:2
- 07.09away · FBC Melgar0:3
- 30.08Sport Huancayo1:3
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Asociación Deportiva Tarma — Comerciantes Unidos2:0
- 23.11.2025Comerciantes Unidos — Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:0
- 11.07.2025Asociación Deportiva Tarma — Comerciantes Unidos1:0
- 28.10.2024Comerciantes Unidos — Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:0
- 19.05.2024Asociación Deportiva Tarma — Comerciantes Unidos2:0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →