Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Comerciantes Unidos — Sport Boys
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Comerciantes Unidos are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Comerciantes Unidos 1 win, Sport Boys 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Comerciantes Unidos 11, Sport Boys 13.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Comerciantes Unidos — Sport Boys What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Comerciantes Unidos not to lose | 72% | |
| Sport Boys not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos goals
- Sport Boys goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Comerciantes Unidos | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 13.5 |
| On target | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 3.6 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 51 |
Form
- 03.11Asociación Deportiva Tarma2:2
- 30.10away · Melgar1:1
- 25.10Cienciano3:1
- 18.10away · Sporting Cristal2:4
- 10.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
- 01.11away · Cusco FC1:0
- 25.10FC Cajamarca4:2
- 17.10away · ADC Juan Pablo II0:2
- 11.10Alianza Atlético1:3
- 20.09away · Melgar1:1
Head to head
- 31.05.2026Sport Boys — Comerciantes Unidos1:0
- 13.09.2025Sport Boys — Comerciantes Unidos0:1
- 13.04.2025Comerciantes Unidos — Sport Boys0:4
- 24.10.2024Comerciantes Unidos — Sport Boys0:0
- 11.05.2024Sport Boys — Comerciantes Unidos1:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Cusco FCAsociación Deportiva Tarmapreliminary6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- ADC Juan Pablo IIDeportivo Garcilasopreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Deportivo MoqueguaAtlético Graupreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Alianza LimaFC Cajamarcapreliminary87941The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- UTC CajamarcaLos Chankaspreliminary4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →