Chilean Liga de Primera, round 24 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio Municipal Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Coquimbo Unido — Colo Colo
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In short
Final score 5:2: the model's most likely outcome, Colo Colo to win (49%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 49% fails in about 51 matches out of 100 on average.
Colo Colo are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Colo Colo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coquimbo Unido — Colo Colo What is xG? | 1.1–1.6 | |
| Coquimbo Unido not to lose | 51% | |
| Colo Colo not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido goals
- Colo Colo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 17.09Huachipato0:1
- 12.09away · Cobresal2:3
- 06.09away · Universidad de Chile2:4
- 03.09Universidad de Concepción1:0
- 27.08Universidad Católica1:2
- 13.09Deportes Concepción1:1
- 06.09away · Huachipato0:0
- 31.08Audax Italiano5:1
- 23.08away · Universidad de Chile2:1
- 17.08O'Higgins2:2
Head to head
- 04.05.2026Colo Colo — Coquimbo Unido3:1
- 19.10.2025Coquimbo Unido — Colo Colo1:0
- 26.04.2025Colo Colo — Coquimbo Unido2:0
- 17.08.2024Colo Colo — Coquimbo Unido2:0
- 17.03.2024Coquimbo Unido — Colo Colo0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | +22 | 45 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 24 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
Next matches
- ÑublenseCoquimbo Unido25 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary2827452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- PalestinoColo Colo25 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 6320171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
- 5623211The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.0
- 5925161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →