Brazilian Serie A, round 33 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Corinthians — Mirassol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Corinthians are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Corinthians are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Corinthians — Mirassol What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Corinthians not to lose | 76% | |
| Mirassol not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Corinthians
- Corinthians goals
- Mirassol goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Palmeiras1:4
- 08.10away · Internacional1:2
- 20.09Fluminense1:3
- 17.09Estudiantes0:1
- 13.09away · Flamengo1:2
- 12.10away · Bahia0:1
- 08.10away · RB Bragantino1:1
- 19.09Botafogo2:0
- 13.09Vitória2:2
- 06.09away · Coritiba2:1
Head to head
- 04.05.2026Mirassol — Corinthians2:1
- 05.10.2025Corinthians — Mirassol3:0
- 11.05.2025Mirassol — Corinthians2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 29 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | -5 | 32 |
| 17, Relegation | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 18, Relegation | Grêmio | 30 | 7 | -8 | 31 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →