English Premier League, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Coventry City — Fulham
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fulham are slightly stronger: 38% against 30%, draw 32%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fulham are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coventry City — Fulham What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| Coventry City not to lose | 62% | |
| Fulham not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coventry City
- Coventry City goals
- Fulham goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Newcastle United4:1
- 19.09away · Nottingham Forest1:0
- 16.09Aston Villa1:3
- 13.09Brighton & Hove Albion0:5
- 05.09away · Manchester City0:1
- 10.10away · Ipswich Town1:2
- 20.09Manchester United1:1
- 15.09away · West Ham United3:2
- 12.09away · Liverpool0:0
- 05.09Crystal Palace2:3
Head to head
- 10.04.2022Fulham — Coventry City1:3
- 02.10.2021Coventry City — Fulham4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 19, Relegation | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 20, Relegation | Fulham | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
Premier League on the same day
- Aston VillaManchester Citypreliminary2025552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- ArsenalEvertonpreliminary741881The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- ChelseaTottenham Hotspurpreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →