Brazilian Serie B, round 32 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Estádio Rei Pelé
CRB — Atlético-GO
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, CRB to win (47%), came true.
CRB are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CRB are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CRB — Atlético-GO What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| CRB not to lose | 73% | |
| Atlético-GO not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CRB
- CRB goals
- Atlético-GO goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.10away · São Bernardo1:3
- 27.09Cuiabá3:0
- 20.09away · Ponte Preta0:1
- 16.09Sport Recife2:1
- 10.09away · Operário-PR0:3
- 03.10América-MG2:0
- 27.09away · Goiás1:0
- 19.09away · São Bernardo0:1
- 13.09Criciúma4:0
- 10.09Ceará2:1
Head to head
- 13.06.2026Atlético-GO — CRB3:3
- 26.10.2025CRB — Atlético-GO2:1
- 04.07.2025Atlético-GO — CRB2:1
- 02.08.2023CRB — Atlético-GO2:1
- 21.04.2023Atlético-GO — CRB2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
Next matches
- Atlético-GOSport Recife11 October · Brasileirao Serie B4827251The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- FortalezaCRB12 October · Brasileirao Serie B4528261The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 5228211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 4728251The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.2.3
- 3028422The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.3
- 383230XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →