UEFA Nations League, round 2, League A, group 3 · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK · Fortuna Arena
Czechia — England
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, England to win (72%), came true.
England are clear favourites: 72% against 9% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Czechia 1666, England 2107 — England clearly rated higher.
- Czechia: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Czechia — England What is xG? | 0.7–2.3 | |
| Czechia not to lose | 28% | |
| England not to lose | 91% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Handicap Czechia
- Czechia goals
- England goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 26.09Spain2:3
- 19.07away · France6:4
- 15.07Argentina1:2
- 12.07away · Norway2:1
- 06.07away · Mexico3:2
Head to head
- 22.06.2021Czechia — England0:1
- 11.10.2019Czechia — England2:1
- 22.03.2019England — Czechia5:0
Table
Next matches
- CroatiaEngland3 October · UEFA Nations League2325522The most likely outcome came true: 20:7Final score 0:7. Model's score: 1:2.2.9
- SpainCzechia3 October · UEFA Nations League88931The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:0.3.6
UEFA Nations League on the same day
- 5725191The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 2830422The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 771671The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.1
- 1925562The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 5428181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 17932The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:3, exactly right.3.3
- 7021101The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- 4629251The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →